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coming up, president obama helping lock up the badger's state. we're joined for an update on wisconsin voting. stay tuned, you're watching "the ed show" live from democracy plaza. you're also looking at all of the skating that takes place here. i was going to skat tonight, but i've got sore ankles, i think i'll pass. we're coming right back. [ male announcer ] febreze. eliminates odors and leaves carpets fresh. ♪ and leaves carpets fresh. if we want to improve our schools... ... what should we invest in? maybe new buildings? what about updated equipment? they can help, but recent research shows... ... nothing transforms schools like investing in advanced teacher education. let's build a strong foundation. let's invest in our teachers so they can inspire our students. let's solve this. anyone have occasional constipation, diarrhea, gas, bloating? yeah. one phillips' colon health probiotic cap each day helps defend against these digestive issues with three strains of good bacteria. approved! [ phillips' lady ] live the regular life. phillips'. >>
coming up, president obama helping lock up the badger's state. we're joined for an update on wisconsin voting. stay tuned, you're watching "the ed show" live from democracy plaza. you're also looking at all of the skating that takes place here. i was going to skat tonight, but i've got sore ankles, i think i'll pass. we're coming right back. [ male announcer ] febreze. eliminates odors and leaves carpets fresh. ♪ and leaves carpets fresh. if we want to improve our schools... ......
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president obama bounces from one battle ground state to another using ohio as his airline hub. he's using all the hot spots trying to rally his base and any undecided voters he thinks are left. governor romney is also racing against the clock, tweaking his argument. and in case you forgot, we've got more than two guys running on tuesday, tonight we'll break down all of the battles, particularly for congress and who will decide control of it and what the next president can get done. good evening from democracy plaza. it's saturday, november 3, 2012. this is a prime time edition of "the daily rundown." we're taking a look at how we got here. presidential elections that aren't close are actually odd. no republican has gotten more than 300 electoral votes since 1988. only four democrats in history have gotten more than 53% of the vote. bottom line, this is 1976 meets 2000 meets 2004. in other words, it's a very close race. so how did we get here? the president began this campaign weighed down by a troubled economy and still faces a jobless rate higher than any incumbent seeking re-
president obama bounces from one battle ground state to another using ohio as his airline hub. he's using all the hot spots trying to rally his base and any undecided voters he thinks are left. governor romney is also racing against the clock, tweaking his argument. and in case you forgot, we've got more than two guys running on tuesday, tonight we'll break down all of the battles, particularly for congress and who will decide control of it and what the next president can get done. good evening...
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they considered states like new hampshire, minnesota, pennsylvania all safe obama states. now they are going up on advertising, sending their surrogates in because they are on defense on states that they considered very safe for obama, whereas governor romney is able to expand the map into states that were considered outside of that window and that includes states like wisconsin as well. that were considered safe seats -- double digit states the president carried in 2008. >> we have to let that be the last word but thanks for coming on the program. it's good to see you. >> you bet. >> susan, let's talk about the polls. gallup daily tracking poll is suspended because of sandy. but we did see a national poll that showed obama up by one, more significantly in the battleground states but some of the numbers are tightening. the gap is closing but does obama still have enough of a lead. would he still be considered when you look at all these polls in aggregate the one to be favored? >> i think if you look at the whole set of swing states, polls that president obama seems to have
they considered states like new hampshire, minnesota, pennsylvania all safe obama states. now they are going up on advertising, sending their surrogates in because they are on defense on states that they considered very safe for obama, whereas governor romney is able to expand the map into states that were considered outside of that window and that includes states like wisconsin as well. that were considered safe seats -- double digit states the president carried in 2008. >> we have to...
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and new polls in battleground states as we're five days away from the election. and when we come back here, we'll huddle around the water cooler briefly to watch stephen colbert wonder if sushg sandy had political motivations. up. a short word that's a tall order. up your game. up the ante. and if you stumble, you get back up. up isn't easy, and we ought to know. we're in the business of up. everyday delta flies a quarter of million people while investing billions improving everything from booking to baggage claim. we're raising the bar on flying and tomorrow we will up it yet again. fire bad! just have to fire roast these tomatoes. do you churn your own butter too? what? this is going to give you a head start on your dinner. that seems easier sure does who are you? [ female announcer ] new progresso recipe starters. five delicious cooking sauces you combine with fresh ingredients to make amazing home-cooked meals. ♪ ambiance [ female announcer ] new progresso recipe starters. your head-start to home cooked. >>> flood damage brought on by sandy is estimated to
and new polls in battleground states as we're five days away from the election. and when we come back here, we'll huddle around the water cooler briefly to watch stephen colbert wonder if sushg sandy had political motivations. up. a short word that's a tall order. up your game. up the ante. and if you stumble, you get back up. up isn't easy, and we ought to know. we're in the business of up. everyday delta flies a quarter of million people while investing billions improving everything from...
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illinois state senate. even before that run, there was something about him that caught people. >> i met barack obama because a friend of mine in chicago, named betty lou saltzman, active in politics here, called me up in 1992. she said, i just met the most remarkable young man and i think you ought to meet him. his name is barack obama. i know this sounds odd, but i just had this strange feeling that he could be president of the united states some day. and i always joke, now i take betty lou to the track with me whenever i go. >> when obama ran in 2004 for the united states senate, david axelrod signed on as his media adviser. the little-known candidate with the unusual name defeated a half dozen rivals to win the democratic nomination. >> thank you! >> obama's come-from-behind victory won him wide attention. he soon got a call to deliver the keynote at the democratic national convention. >> and as soon as he hung up, he said, i know what i want to say. i want to wrap my story in the larger american story.
illinois state senate. even before that run, there was something about him that caught people. >> i met barack obama because a friend of mine in chicago, named betty lou saltzman, active in politics here, called me up in 1992. she said, i just met the most remarkable young man and i think you ought to meet him. his name is barack obama. i know this sounds odd, but i just had this strange feeling that he could be president of the united states some day. and i always joke, now i take betty...
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one state that's not a swing state this year but that president obama made into a swing state in 2008 is the great state of indiana. indiana flipped from red to blue in the presidential contest. president obama is not necessarily expected to pull off the same thing this year in indiana. but this year there's a really hot race in indiana in the senate. after a tea party primary cost senator richard lugar his senate job, the republican candidate in indiana ended up being the guy on the left side of your screen richard mourdock. he's up against joe donnelly. since he made his rape comment at a debate a few weeks ago, in very, very, very, very red state indiana, the republican candidate is now behind in that state senate race. he's losing the race by double digits. here's the interesting thing about that poll to. it's a poll in indiana, which almost never happens. it's really weird, but nobody nationally never knows what's going on in indiana politics because they don't poll in indiana. in indiana, it's illegal to make automated calls for telemarketing purposes and for public opinion surv
one state that's not a swing state this year but that president obama made into a swing state in 2008 is the great state of indiana. indiana flipped from red to blue in the presidential contest. president obama is not necessarily expected to pull off the same thing this year in indiana. but this year there's a really hot race in indiana in the senate. after a tea party primary cost senator richard lugar his senate job, the republican candidate in indiana ended up being the guy on the left side...
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five days to go, president obama's campaigning in three states today. meanwhile, republicans are going ugly. mitt romney is trying everything he can to shake up the race. that is the real story of what is going on in the campaign now. romney's forces are responding to new polls showing president obama leading in swing states. up by six in iowa, up by five in ohio, and ahead in other key states, including new hampshire, be virginia, florida, wisconsin, colorado, and nevada. and today, a major endorsement coming from new york city's independent mayor michael bloomberg. no question, this is a close race but today in wisconsin the president went after one of the key points in governor romney's closing argument to voters. >> the closing weeks of this campaign, governor romney has been using all his talents as a salesman to dress up these very same policies that failed our country so badly. and he is offering them change. he's saying he's the candidate of change. well, let me tell you, wisconsin, we know what change looks like. and what the governor is offeri
five days to go, president obama's campaigning in three states today. meanwhile, republicans are going ugly. mitt romney is trying everything he can to shake up the race. that is the real story of what is going on in the campaign now. romney's forces are responding to new polls showing president obama leading in swing states. up by six in iowa, up by five in ohio, and ahead in other key states, including new hampshire, be virginia, florida, wisconsin, colorado, and nevada. and today, a major...
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it's an overwhelmingly white state. we know that obama's struggling with white voters. a state obama won by ten points last time and keep in mind that means it's closer than wisconsin, pennsylvania, closer than a whole bunch and closer than nevada, states recognized as battlegrounds and a democratic history and makes it difficult for romney and not hard to see why the combination of results of a last few elections and the state's demographics could put it in play. other hand, polls show obama ahead and 50%. the campaigns have an investment there and they don't take the evidence of a strong race and inclined to think although minnesota is closer than people think it's probably not going romney's way. >> nate, let's talk about ohio. the sort of premier swing state. you have made the point of a state filled with white working class voters and elsewhere turned on obama in four years and if they had in ohio like they have elsewhere this would be a pretty easy romney feat and obama's ahead by a few points and been a consistent leap. i want to run a number that jumped out at m
it's an overwhelmingly white state. we know that obama's struggling with white voters. a state obama won by ten points last time and keep in mind that means it's closer than wisconsin, pennsylvania, closer than a whole bunch and closer than nevada, states recognized as battlegrounds and a democratic history and makes it difficult for romney and not hard to see why the combination of results of a last few elections and the state's demographics could put it in play. other hand, polls show obama...
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likely states obama carries. >> not counting north carolina, well, colorado is going to be tough. i think of all the battleground states, that's probably the closest. >> give me the next two. >> new hampshire, and i think florida, although, i am more optimistic about florida. >> i'm sensing that. >> i think florida could be the odd surprise. >> jim? >> keep an eye on hispanic voters. >> that's what i agree. most pessimistic, romney side. what do you think? >> definitely nevada. definitely iowa. i guess wisconsin. wisconsin, ohio. they need one of those two. >> well, no. one of the other ones. either iowa or ohio or wisconsin. >> liz, what do you sense is the closest state? what's going to be the closest state? >> it's going to be my state. >> you think it's going to be the closest state? >> i think at the end, that's what we'll see, correct. >> i think it's going to be nevada. >> you think that's going to be the closest? >> yeah, i think that's going to be a razor-thin margin, presumably for romney. >> i'm going to stick with virginia. i've been going back and forth between virgin
likely states obama carries. >> not counting north carolina, well, colorado is going to be tough. i think of all the battleground states, that's probably the closest. >> give me the next two. >> new hampshire, and i think florida, although, i am more optimistic about florida. >> i'm sensing that. >> i think florida could be the odd surprise. >> jim? >> keep an eye on hispanic voters. >> that's what i agree. most pessimistic, romney side. what do...
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president obama carried this state in 2008. unemployment rate far below the national average, but mitt romney has a strong presence here. not only was he governor of neighboring massachusetts, but he owns a house here in new hampshire. kristen welker, thank you for that report. >>> from new hampshire to the sunshine state. many residents down here in florida not waiting until election day to cast their ballots. just this morning, hundreds, thousands lining up at polling places to lock in their support for their candidate of choice. will this early electoral activity impact what we see on november 6th? joining me to talk about it, a.b. stoddard associate editor on the hill and jeff greenberg. a.b., let me start with you. both candidates want to bank votes, but this has been a major push for the president, in particular. he made it his public service announcement on the trail. can democrats make enough strides with in-person early voting to prevent sweating out election night? >> well, that's what they hope. if you talk to them i
president obama carried this state in 2008. unemployment rate far below the national average, but mitt romney has a strong presence here. not only was he governor of neighboring massachusetts, but he owns a house here in new hampshire. kristen welker, thank you for that report. >>> from new hampshire to the sunshine state. many residents down here in florida not waiting until election day to cast their ballots. just this morning, hundreds, thousands lining up at polling places to lock...
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how worried is the obama campaign about those states? >> well, i think they've been worried of all of those states because they are very close even though the polls shows obama slightly ahead by no means a safe margin. he does not have a strong lead anywhere. i think the romney campaign is really worried about ohio and that's why they suddenly turned up their visits in advertising in pennsylvania, michigan, minnesota, states they don't have much of a chance to carry but they need ohio insurance because so far even if the lead is very small ohio is looking pretty good for the president. >> you know, i'm glad bill brought that up because i was going to get to that in just a few minutes. ohio, governor romney hasn't led in a major poll in that state. right now you take an average of all the polls that look at the buckeye state, the president enjoys a lead there, some of those leads more substantial than others. is it at this point the buckeye state is it a wash for the governor? >> well, you know, i think he certainly had some trouble there
how worried is the obama campaign about those states? >> well, i think they've been worried of all of those states because they are very close even though the polls shows obama slightly ahead by no means a safe margin. he does not have a strong lead anywhere. i think the romney campaign is really worried about ohio and that's why they suddenly turned up their visits in advertising in pennsylvania, michigan, minnesota, states they don't have much of a chance to carry but they need ohio...
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battleground state of ohio, the obama re-election campaign has 137 field offices, compared with 40 for mitt romney. politico's maggie haverman says -- >> joining me now is howard dean, former chairman of the democratic national convention and former governor of vermont. thanks for being here. >> thanks for having me on. i particularly like, you have the power that the president talked about. that was from 2004. >> indeed, indeed. governor dean, let's talk about the ground game here. there's been a lot of analysis in the months and days leading up to this. in terms of number of field offices, i mentioned 125 to 40 in terms of offices in ohio, the obama campaign says they've reached 125 million people, and reported that the romney campaign has only reached 50 million. that seems to be a disproportionate disadvantage. >> nobody has ever done this better than the obama campaign and their game is even better than it was in 2008. so i expect we're going to win. i think we're going to win iowa and ohio. >> let's listen to what john boehner, from ohio, said today. he gave his prediction on fox
battleground state of ohio, the obama re-election campaign has 137 field offices, compared with 40 for mitt romney. politico's maggie haverman says -- >> joining me now is howard dean, former chairman of the democratic national convention and former governor of vermont. thanks for being here. >> thanks for having me on. i particularly like, you have the power that the president talked about. that was from 2004. >> indeed, indeed. governor dean, let's talk about the ground game...
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if the buckeye state is governor romney's must-win, same can be said for president obama in pennsylvania where the latest "philadelphia inquirer" poll has the president up by a sizable margin. governor romney has narrowed the lead to six points there. 49-43 in pennsylvania. mitt romney's running mate is on the about us hoeding across ohio. congressman paul ryan on a two-day eight-stop trip through the critical battleground state calling on voters to support the republican ticket. nbc news correspondent ron mott on the bus with the vp nominee. i understand you just arrived in circleville, ohio? >> reporter: we are behind schedule by about 40 minutes, i would say. paul ryan just finished up a quick brief address with supporters outside lindsey's bakery. i'm told it's world famous. they've got pumpkin donuts they put on the bus here. we have two more events in about 120 or so miles left to go. this is a must-win for the campaign. that's the way they're positioning it. ohio senator rob portman said he can't see this republican ticket winning the white house without winning here in ohio. no r
if the buckeye state is governor romney's must-win, same can be said for president obama in pennsylvania where the latest "philadelphia inquirer" poll has the president up by a sizable margin. governor romney has narrowed the lead to six points there. 49-43 in pennsylvania. mitt romney's running mate is on the about us hoeding across ohio. congressman paul ryan on a two-day eight-stop trip through the critical battleground state calling on voters to support the republican ticket. nbc...
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barack obama winning the state. so when i spoke with the former head of the republican party of florida, a guy named jim greer who is in his own trouble over charges about some illegal money thing that he was doing, but when he was running the party he told me that republican consultants came to him and said, we want to craft a bill that would get rid of early voting if we could, or severely cut it, because in the words of these consultants, according to jim greer, all it does is bring every african-american out from under a rock, that's a quote, and get them to vote for democrats. they don't vote for us, it doesn't help us. so the republican legislature which in 2010 became more tea party, more conservative, there's no margin in it for them to increase access to in-person early voting. what they did is passed a law that didn't touch absentee voting, which republicans tend to dominate in, but severely limited the early vote. just to give you some numbers, you're talking about there were 96 hours, there are 96 hours
barack obama winning the state. so when i spoke with the former head of the republican party of florida, a guy named jim greer who is in his own trouble over charges about some illegal money thing that he was doing, but when he was running the party he told me that republican consultants came to him and said, we want to craft a bill that would get rid of early voting if we could, or severely cut it, because in the words of these consultants, according to jim greer, all it does is bring every...
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they were gore, bush, obama. the answer is iowa and new mexico, both states. gore in 2004, bush in '08. iowa, could they flip again? if you have a trivia question that should be on the show, e-mail us. we'll be right back from democracy plaza. jenna shared her recipe with sharon, who emailed it to emily, who sent it to cindy, who wondered why her soup wasn't quite the same. the recipe's not the recipe... ohhh. [ female announcer ] ...without swanson. the broth cooks trust most when making soup. mmmm! [ female announcer ] the secret is swanson. and you learned something along the way. this is the age of knowing what you're made of. so, why let erectile dysfunction get in your way? talk to your doctor about viagra. 20 million men already have. ask if your heart is healthy enough for sex. do not take viagra if you take nitrates for chest pain; it may cause an unsafe drop in blood pressure. side effects include headache, flushing, upset stomach, and abnormal vision. to avoid long-term injury, seek immediate medical help for an erection lasting more than four hours
they were gore, bush, obama. the answer is iowa and new mexico, both states. gore in 2004, bush in '08. iowa, could they flip again? if you have a trivia question that should be on the show, e-mail us. we'll be right back from democracy plaza. jenna shared her recipe with sharon, who emailed it to emily, who sent it to cindy, who wondered why her soup wasn't quite the same. the recipe's not the recipe... ohhh. [ female announcer ] ...without swanson. the broth cooks trust most when making soup....
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, the current president of the united states, our president, barack obama! >> welcome back to "hardball." the president and the former president campaigning together. president obama made note of the power of the former president and his secretary of state hillary clinton today. >> let me just say president clinton has been traveling all across the country for this campaign. he has been breaking it down so well that people tell me i should ask him to be secretary of explaining stuff. the only clinton working harder than him is our secretary of state, hillary clinton! >> joan walsh is author of "what's the matter with white people?" by the way, to remind everybody david did uncover that 47% video. first of all, joan, when i hear bill clinton, i hear strains of wendell wellky losing his voice in that 1940 race. but here you have bill clinton out there today basically adding something. he does something when he shows up with obama. it seems like it's more than one or two, it's like maybe a five. >> they're larger than the sum of their parts. i was just looking
, the current president of the united states, our president, barack obama! >> welcome back to "hardball." the president and the former president campaigning together. president obama made note of the power of the former president and his secretary of state hillary clinton today. >> let me just say president clinton has been traveling all across the country for this campaign. he has been breaking it down so well that people tell me i should ask him to be secretary of...
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give me this person to help president obama succeed. >> president obama is not going to lose the state of minnesota. i can speak with a little bit of authority and credibility on that one. so president clinton going to minnesota tomorrow, he's going to be there to try to defeat michele bachmann in supporting a guy named jim graves who is a self-made guy. this is a guy that came from a very humble background. he's a very successful businessman. in fact, joy, if the republicans wanted to get somebody to run, this is the kind of guy that they'd go after. >> yeah. >> what kind of effect can bill clinton have on a high-profile tea partier who has been very critical of the president from day one, michele bachmann? >> think about what you just said. this candidate on the democratic side is a perfect democrat and a perfect dlc -- he's somebody that michele bachmann's softer supporters, whether it's women who are concerned with her position on women's issues, or republicans, there are a lot of republicans who look fondly at bill clinton, who might be thinking, you know what, michele bachmann wa
give me this person to help president obama succeed. >> president obama is not going to lose the state of minnesota. i can speak with a little bit of authority and credibility on that one. so president clinton going to minnesota tomorrow, he's going to be there to try to defeat michele bachmann in supporting a guy named jim graves who is a self-made guy. this is a guy that came from a very humble background. he's a very successful businessman. in fact, joy, if the republicans wanted to...
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and right now polls show that president obama is holding onto a modest lead here in the buckeye state. president obama made three stops here on friday. and really what was a campaign all-out blitz, two of those stops, by the way, alex, were in counties that he lost back in 2008. he's hoping to kick off some of those working-class voters. he's doing it by the auto bailout. that is something that is widely popular here that, of course, mitt romney opposed. widely popular because one out of every eight ohioans has a connection to the auto industry. president obama also touting what he called an economy that is in recovery. he referenced friday's jobs report to do it. take a listen. >> in 2008 we were in the middle of two wars, and the worst economic crisis since the great depression. today our businesses have created nearly 5.5 million new jobs and this morning we learned the company's hired more workers in october than at any time in the last eight months. >> president obama has a frenetic campaign today straight through election day today, alex. he will make stops in wisconsin, iowa, a
and right now polls show that president obama is holding onto a modest lead here in the buckeye state. president obama made three stops here on friday. and really what was a campaign all-out blitz, two of those stops, by the way, alex, were in counties that he lost back in 2008. he's hoping to kick off some of those working-class voters. he's doing it by the auto bailout. that is something that is widely popular here that, of course, mitt romney opposed. widely popular because one out of every...
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president obama and governor romney are in the buckeye state as if the whole race may depend on it. guess what? it probably does. we'll go live to the site of the president's event this morning near columbus. there are more than just two guys running for office. house republicans could actually pick up a few seats on tuesday. we'll talk to the gop's man in charge of holding on to the house and the guy who predicted this could happen more than two years ago. november 2, 2012. this is the daily rundown. i'm chuck todd. let's get to my first read of the morning. four days after one of the worst storms ever to hit the country residents are reeling from sandy's impact. according to an early estimate from ploody's analytic the damage will approach $50 billion including property damage and loss of economic aft ty. more than 3.5 home owners and businesses are facing a day without power. the good news the number keeps coming down but there are still millions without power and then new york, staten island where at least 90 people were killed. the situation is particularly grim and residents a
president obama and governor romney are in the buckeye state as if the whole race may depend on it. guess what? it probably does. we'll go live to the site of the president's event this morning near columbus. there are more than just two guys running for office. house republicans could actually pick up a few seats on tuesday. we'll talk to the gop's man in charge of holding on to the house and the guy who predicted this could happen more than two years ago. november 2, 2012. this is the daily...
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obama care. states believe in states racing to the top. one of the aspects in this, i'm complaining about california and alabama get ignored. the opposite are you are in a swing state, you are innovative. there's this hilarious thing in columbus ohio yesterday, live tweeting the ads. to wrap up in columbus ohio, 45 of 45 ads were political ads. at a certain point, the amount of media markets and voters is fixed and limited. the amount of money is unlimited. it's all poured into the same place. my question for you, rick, when you brainstorm about a popular vote election, what it would look like, what would it look like? >> one of the things that would be different is the power of money, the relative power of money would be diminished. there's essentially no limit -- there's a limit to how much run you can raise. >> you don't see any campaign saying we raised enough money, let's stop. maybe more would be raised under a popular vote. it would have to be spread out through the whole country. right now, it's funneled into these eight or nine st
obama care. states believe in states racing to the top. one of the aspects in this, i'm complaining about california and alabama get ignored. the opposite are you are in a swing state, you are innovative. there's this hilarious thing in columbus ohio yesterday, live tweeting the ads. to wrap up in columbus ohio, 45 of 45 ads were political ads. at a certain point, the amount of media markets and voters is fixed and limited. the amount of money is unlimited. it's all poured into the same place....
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" average of the most recent polling in the state of ohio shows president obama ahead in ohio by 2.3 points. these "real clear politics" averages are an imperfect measure. i want to give you a very rough idea of how basically how close it is right now. that's what it is in ohio. in virginia, that same polling average has mitt romney ahead by 0.5 points, and in north carolina, the polling average has mr. romney ahead by 3.8 points. so that's the 7:00 hour. and then in the 8:00 hour, polls will be closing in these 18 states. of these states, again, there will be three that we're going to be watching most closely. florida, pennsylvania, and new hampshire. the "real clear politics" polling average right now in florida has romney ahead. in pennsylvania the polling average says it is president obama who's ahead by 4.6 points. in new hampshire, again, president obama ahead with a 1.3 lead. that's the 8:00 hour. at 9:00, we'll have polls closed in all those places, and the blinking states here will be the ones that are closing. 14 states mostly in the midwest and the south. of the -- southwe
" average of the most recent polling in the state of ohio shows president obama ahead in ohio by 2.3 points. these "real clear politics" averages are an imperfect measure. i want to give you a very rough idea of how basically how close it is right now. that's what it is in ohio. in virginia, that same polling average has mitt romney ahead by 0.5 points, and in north carolina, the polling average has mr. romney ahead by 3.8 points. so that's the 7:00 hour. and then in the 8:00...
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Nov 4, 2012
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a lot of people cannot abide the idea of barack obama as president of the united states. they are angry. say outrageous things. the romney campaign abandoned most of the its message. it is just going back to some of the race stuff on welfare that it was doing before. they are appealing to that anger. they call that intensity, i call it irrationality. >> they have a lot of reason to go back to that, i suppose, alicia, when you look at the fact, the president is maintaining an edge in swing states, according to real politics, which is averaging the polls. president obama leads by roughly 4 points in washington and pennsylvania. leading by more than 2 in nevada, ohio and iowa. as a slighter margins in new hampshire and colorado, governor romney only leads in more at a point in florida and is narrowly ahead in virginia. that gives a reason for them to, let's say, be concerned. >> they need to be concerned because it is not just the enthuse yack enthuse em that's missing p. this is what barack obama does better than anyone else. man test right now in the early vote of look at
a lot of people cannot abide the idea of barack obama as president of the united states. they are angry. say outrageous things. the romney campaign abandoned most of the its message. it is just going back to some of the race stuff on welfare that it was doing before. they are appealing to that anger. they call that intensity, i call it irrationality. >> they have a lot of reason to go back to that, i suppose, alicia, when you look at the fact, the president is maintaining an edge in swing...
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Nov 1, 2012
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we're in the same states. barack obama has the lead in most of those states. i think he's been doing great job these past couple days of showing he, as the commander in chief, has a lot to do and he's been doing it. romney's problem is he doesn't really have a job in all this. >> steve, chip, thanks for sitting with us and watching this appearance by mitt romney. it's good see you guys. >> thank you. >> we are just a short time away from president obama's first campaign event today. this is a live look. green bay, wisconsin. president obama will also be in las vegas and colorado before heading to ohio tomorrow. we will have the president's appearance for you live. we'll be right back. i have a cold... i took dayquil, but i still have a runny nose. [ male announcer ] dayquil doesn't treat that. huh? [ male announcer ] alka-seltzer plus rushes relief to all your worst cold symptoms, plus it relieves your runny nose. [ sighs ] thank you! [ male announcer ] you're welcome. that's the cold truth! that was me... the day i learned i had to start insulin for my type 2
we're in the same states. barack obama has the lead in most of those states. i think he's been doing great job these past couple days of showing he, as the commander in chief, has a lot to do and he's been doing it. romney's problem is he doesn't really have a job in all this. >> steve, chip, thanks for sitting with us and watching this appearance by mitt romney. it's good see you guys. >> thank you. >> we are just a short time away from president obama's first campaign event...
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Oct 31, 2012
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first let's begin by putting those states back in the obama column here for a minute. and i will explain. so that is at 243. the issue is this, you have the romney campaign believing virginia and florida is theirs. they really do believe they will r win colorado. if you moved iowa, new hampshire, and wisconsin over to there, hiohio is the one in pla. it could put either one of them over the top. it could put romney at 275 or it could put obama at 281. let's say you believe you can't win ohio if you're the mitt romney campaign. you have to take away 12 electoral votes from him. well, boy, pennsylvania, you could steal that. look at how that would change the map. and that would given you more. but pennsylvania is not going to work, well, how about the state of your birth. if you couldn't take michigan, again, you could change the math. boy, did they take a long time to mess with that. i'm going to give them more credit. there is a republican super pac laying the groundwork in minnesota for months called the american future fund, it's a bunch of folks mostly out of iowa b
first let's begin by putting those states back in the obama column here for a minute. and i will explain. so that is at 243. the issue is this, you have the romney campaign believing virginia and florida is theirs. they really do believe they will r win colorado. if you moved iowa, new hampshire, and wisconsin over to there, hiohio is the one in pla. it could put either one of them over the top. it could put romney at 275 or it could put obama at 281. let's say you believe you can't win ohio if...
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Nov 4, 2012
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and i think that it looks like the state leans towards president obama. but the senate race, the republican has a bit of an advantage there. the problem is that the democratic candidate is not a perfect candidate. she's under investigation by the house ethics committee and that's gotten in her way of getting better known and supported in areas of the state she does not represent, because these tend to be more swing areas of the state. >> one of the questions that is going to come up quickly on leadership issues. nancy pelosi, the democratic leader, has virtually no chance they're going to pick up 25 seats. that means that the democrats are not going to regain control. what is the likely scenario, is she going to stay and be the democratic leader? >> most people thought in 2010 after democrats lost 63 seats and lost control of the house she might step aside. she actually stayed on. i don't hear from democrats betting she's going to quietly step aside, even if democrats don't gain much traction and pick up half of the seats they need to take back the house
and i think that it looks like the state leans towards president obama. but the senate race, the republican has a bit of an advantage there. the problem is that the democratic candidate is not a perfect candidate. she's under investigation by the house ethics committee and that's gotten in her way of getting better known and supported in areas of the state she does not represent, because these tend to be more swing areas of the state. >> one of the questions that is going to come up...
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that's a conservative part of the state. no one expected obama to win it. . the question becomes is what's on the ends. so far, we are seeing his numbers hold up remarkably well there. so i don't think that it's going to be -- i agree with jonathan capehart, it's fool's gold. but we'll see what happens and i'm sticking with robert. probably not. >> i like that. overall, one romney adviser said it's a tied football game. there's a loose ball. is that the talk of someone who is behind? i have been asking people today, if it's tied, don't you claim to be ahead? >> if only i knew the answer. this is the question that we all watch the same polls nationally and in the battlegrounds, they are tight. you can be buffetted one way or the other of the spin on both sides. they make the case the early voting numbers look like the obama campaign has lost the margin it went into election day with four years ago. on the other hand, it shows obama is up by two to one margins. you can glean whatever you want out of the facts that we have, the data that we have. the larger issu
that's a conservative part of the state. no one expected obama to win it. . the question becomes is what's on the ends. so far, we are seeing his numbers hold up remarkably well there. so i don't think that it's going to be -- i agree with jonathan capehart, it's fool's gold. but we'll see what happens and i'm sticking with robert. probably not. >> i like that. overall, one romney adviser said it's a tied football game. there's a loose ball. is that the talk of someone who is behind? i...
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firewall for president obama. you seem to be up in ohio at least a couple of points based on polling i've seen. a new poll from "the des moines register" has you up five in iowa. do you believe ohio and iowa are done deals in the president's column? >> david, not until the polls close. so we feel good about our position in both those states. we think we have done terrific in terms of the early vote. it's important to understand, for governor romney to win ohio, iowa, north carolina, he'll have to carry election day by a hugeo margin, and we think we'll do very well with election day voters. we're in i think a commanding position, but our big challenge is to make sure we execute and get our vote out. and that's what we're spending all of our time on. >> let me ask you about a couple of issues here in the final s stretch. the arguments from governor romney boil down to the economy and the unemployment rate higher than when the president took office. here's governor romney last night. >> he said he would bring the un
firewall for president obama. you seem to be up in ohio at least a couple of points based on polling i've seen. a new poll from "the des moines register" has you up five in iowa. do you believe ohio and iowa are done deals in the president's column? >> david, not until the polls close. so we feel good about our position in both those states. we think we have done terrific in terms of the early vote. it's important to understand, for governor romney to win ohio, iowa, north...
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Oct 28, 2012
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it gives hum a shot at state that is obama. wisconsin, iowa and new hampshire and maybe even nevada can get back in there because the republican candidate is doing well. that's the way you play with the map. if you have to cede ohio. you are cashing in and realization that for a president who got 56 percent of the female vote as the nonincumben in a two gender race is significant. >> doug, kelly ann mentioned new hampshire and ohio and iowa and wisconsin. and so, so, obama's barely ahead in some of those state not at 50 percent. that is dangerous for the territory. >> it is and that's why you will see governor that obama is going to raise questions about romney next week because it is very hard if not impossible for him to get 50 percent. he has to discourage the undecided from voting for romney. that is a win for the president if they stay home. he will need tv effort and plus trying to persuade the undecided not to support romney. >> and governor, may i just add the states are significant for another reason. we look through t
it gives hum a shot at state that is obama. wisconsin, iowa and new hampshire and maybe even nevada can get back in there because the republican candidate is doing well. that's the way you play with the map. if you have to cede ohio. you are cashing in and realization that for a president who got 56 percent of the female vote as the nonincumben in a two gender race is significant. >> doug, kelly ann mentioned new hampshire and ohio and iowa and wisconsin. and so, so, obama's barely ahead...
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Oct 27, 2012
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but, iowa is a state that obama won by 9.5 percentage points. so slightly better in terms of the party registration. in the early votes, probably not going to cut it for romney. he's got to do a lot better. and over the last week we've seen sort of a flattening out of the party registration. republicans had been out of th party registration. republicans had been improving. this week they've actually reversed a little bit, just slightly in terms of the party registration. so it looks as though if the romney campaign is going to turn things around they've got to do a big push next week or on election day in iowa. >> yeah, let's look for virginia. we have it broken down male/female, right? what are you seeing in the votes? >> well, virginia is a state that has excuse required absentee voting. you see a much lower level of early voting in those states than other states. you see who are the sorts of people who are going to be requesting a ballot then if they have to provide an excuse. it tends to be older people living in nursing homes is one of the
but, iowa is a state that obama won by 9.5 percentage points. so slightly better in terms of the party registration. in the early votes, probably not going to cut it for romney. he's got to do a lot better. and over the last week we've seen sort of a flattening out of the party registration. republicans had been out of th party registration. republicans had been improving. this week they've actually reversed a little bit, just slightly in terms of the party registration. so it looks as though...
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Nov 1, 2012
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the words that vaulted barack obama into the national spotlight were about how we're not red states and blue states, but the united states of america. we were hungry for those words and we still are. i believe that we are better when we work together, that we are our brother and our sister's keeper, that good, effective government is possible and necessary, and that'
the words that vaulted barack obama into the national spotlight were about how we're not red states and blue states, but the united states of america. we were hungry for those words and we still are. i believe that we are better when we work together, that we are our brother and our sister's keeper, that good, effective government is possible and necessary, and that'
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Nov 2, 2012
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out in virginia where they rescheduled a big event for obama for saturday in virginia, that obama has a more nimble campaign and has been able to adapt to the situation in these states. >> jeff, it's great to have you on, i read you all the time. you know, in politics like in life, there's rain and there's sunshine. and, you know, these guys act like there shouldn't be rain. i just like the sunshine. we don't live on that planet. we live on a planet where you get breaks, you don't get breaks. but there's limbaugh -- forget limbaugh, let's talk about reality. you get the breaks. something happens where you can use your best stuff. i think the president has had that opportunity now. >> and i think -- i think howard is right, he has been able to, you know, become more -- he looks more like a president now. gosh, for several weeks, maybe for several months, he's looked like a democratic candidate for president rather than a sitting president. so i think we're sort of seeing him in a presidential moment. he's finally sort of filling out this -- the air force one jacket he had on and kind o
out in virginia where they rescheduled a big event for obama for saturday in virginia, that obama has a more nimble campaign and has been able to adapt to the situation in these states. >> jeff, it's great to have you on, i read you all the time. you know, in politics like in life, there's rain and there's sunshine. and, you know, these guys act like there shouldn't be rain. i just like the sunshine. we don't live on that planet. we live on a planet where you get breaks, you don't get...
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Oct 27, 2012
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president obama carried this state back in 2008. this state hasn't been impacted as much by the economic downturn as other states. the unemployment rate is at 5.7%. that is far below the national average. however, mitt romney owns a home here. he was governor of neighboring massachusetts. so he certainly carries a lot of weight here in new hampshire. of course, this state is really known for its independent streak. so both candidates really appealing to that group of voters as well as women and young voters. alex, on friday president obama spent the day at the white house but he was still campaigning. he did a series of interviews with tv and radio stations. and he spoke to mtv really making a strong appeal to young voters. here's what he had to say. take a listen. >> we now have to go directly to the source, the colleges and universities and say, you've got to work on cutting tuition. and we're going to reward those schools that do a good job providing good value for their students while keeping tuition low. >> and alex, the polls
president obama carried this state back in 2008. this state hasn't been impacted as much by the economic downturn as other states. the unemployment rate is at 5.7%. that is far below the national average. however, mitt romney owns a home here. he was governor of neighboring massachusetts. so he certainly carries a lot of weight here in new hampshire. of course, this state is really known for its independent streak. so both candidates really appealing to that group of voters as well as women and...
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. >> president obama is in the state today, joe biden is there tomorrow. there is a lot of action there for the democrats. is the president worried that he may not carry new hampshire as he did in '08? >> the president is very confident that we are. it's going to be a close race and we always said it is going to be close. this election here in new hampshire was decided by less than 1% in both 2000, 2004. there's no reason to believe that new hampshire is not going to be close, again, but when the votes are all counted, it will be under barack obama and joe biden. >> let's take a look at this poll, though, from the american research group. in september, the president had a sizable lead in new hampshire. five points over, but just two points in the most recent poll. is this the result of that lackluster first debate? what do you attribute this to? >> well, we always knew that the polls were going to tighten. clearly, the president said that he wished he had done better in that first debate, but at the end, i think that when the books are all written about th
. >> president obama is in the state today, joe biden is there tomorrow. there is a lot of action there for the democrats. is the president worried that he may not carry new hampshire as he did in '08? >> the president is very confident that we are. it's going to be a close race and we always said it is going to be close. this election here in new hampshire was decided by less than 1% in both 2000, 2004. there's no reason to believe that new hampshire is not going to be close,...
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he's got to do a good job for his state. this is an important moment for him to stand on his own two feet. so i'm not that surprised he'd be happy the president is helping him help his state. >> does it prove those kinds of speeches we saw at the rnc, what a bunch of hogwash that is? >> i think their big difference are in health care. mitt romney at some point should come back to the issues. president obama should highlight disagreements with mitt romney on health care issues and other things. i think in terms of the hurricane, it's important that people work together. it's a good thing that we're seeing governor christie are working together on issues people need to see unified government. >> great bipartisanship when it comes to those issues. let's hash out the new round of battleground polling. our poll gives the path six-point lead in iowa. obama three points ahead in wisconsin. that is within the margin of error. two in new hampshire. again, within the margin of error there. the 2% difference. the president at 49% in al
he's got to do a good job for his state. this is an important moment for him to stand on his own two feet. so i'm not that surprised he'd be happy the president is helping him help his state. >> does it prove those kinds of speeches we saw at the rnc, what a bunch of hogwash that is? >> i think their big difference are in health care. mitt romney at some point should come back to the issues. president obama should highlight disagreements with mitt romney on health care issues and...
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Oct 30, 2012
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which is seen as safe for obama. mainly for scheduling purposes, i wouldn't expect to see either romney or obama in new hampshire or virginia again, and here's the rule of thumb in this is that for the president, good government is good politics and it would have been counter productive if he was out at a rally today because would still be a storm backlash. these events that romney and paul ryan have dealing with storm relief, that is a compromise between having a formal campaign event and going, just canceling the whole day of events and it's a delicate line and everyone has to be treading this close to the election in the wake of such an enormous disaster. >> singing the president's praises and how he's handling this, his toughest critic governor chris christie, take a listen. >> he deserves great credit. yesterday, personally, three times, he gave me his number at the white house and told me to call him if i needed anything and he absolutely means it. >> so, perry, do you think this helps the president? he does ha
which is seen as safe for obama. mainly for scheduling purposes, i wouldn't expect to see either romney or obama in new hampshire or virginia again, and here's the rule of thumb in this is that for the president, good government is good politics and it would have been counter productive if he was out at a rally today because would still be a storm backlash. these events that romney and paul ryan have dealing with storm relief, that is a compromise between having a formal campaign event and...
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Oct 28, 2012
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>> national tracking polls has of them close, but the key battleground states, obama still holds a lead. >> what is the ground game, mark? >> the organized effort over months to identify and not only support -- identified not only supporters, but leaners, and persuade them on how one by one retail basis. weeks before election day, you know who your voters are. you want to be sure you get the vote. >> in many of the battle ground states, obama has more field offices. >> it is down to micromanaging, micro-issuing these of votes. interestingly, the republicans had a better ground game in 2004, and a lot of people think that is why and they won that close election. it sort of fell into disrepair today are building it back up now, but i don't think they are anywhere near where obama is yet. >> there is another question. which candidate has the most d.c. asked to come most engaged, most dedicated supporters? >> that is a hard one to answer. clearly after the first debate, the republican party at everly and these as to support their. romney did do well compared to obama. there was disappointme
>> national tracking polls has of them close, but the key battleground states, obama still holds a lead. >> what is the ground game, mark? >> the organized effort over months to identify and not only support -- identified not only supporters, but leaners, and persuade them on how one by one retail basis. weeks before election day, you know who your voters are. you want to be sure you get the vote. >> in many of the battle ground states, obama has more field offices....
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we did in the write-up note that i do think barack obama is still ahead in the state. and as you mentioned, you can always follow their feet where they're going. mitt romney's spending a huge amount of time in ohio in the next few days, as is, i would say, barack obama. i think both campaigns recognize this is a not only a close race, because there are a lot of close races in states, but this is a place that mitt romney probably has to have. so, if ever there's going to be a place where they both fight because of the stakes are so high, i think ohio's it. i think it belongs where we now have it, which is in those eight states, ones we know, florida, new hampshire, iowa, virginia, nevada, colorado, new hampshire, i think ohio belongs in that group. i put it on myself i should have put it in there a few days before now. >> mark halperin, take a look at nbc news poll, iowa, president up but wisconsin and new hampshire, we're talking about a really closely fought race. >> based on the totality of the public and private polling the only us in is on governor romney to depp s
we did in the write-up note that i do think barack obama is still ahead in the state. and as you mentioned, you can always follow their feet where they're going. mitt romney's spending a huge amount of time in ohio in the next few days, as is, i would say, barack obama. i think both campaigns recognize this is a not only a close race, because there are a lot of close races in states, but this is a place that mitt romney probably has to have. so, if ever there's going to be a place where they...
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Nov 3, 2012
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there were a slew of battleground state polls including in ohio that showed obama ahead. there did seem to be momentum that he had had. and i think most importantly when you actually look back at hurricane sandy, and of course we don't know how election night is going to turn out, but it did freeze the romney campaign in place. and there wasn't a lot of talk of mitt romney for two or three weeks. he was the candidate who had the momentum. he was beginning to make his closing argument. and then hurricane sandy hit, and it froze that. and then the campaign began just a couple of days later. >> which is interesting, marc, because you often hear, and i want all of you to comment on this. any sport they say you don't want to peak too soon. with the unknown variable of the storm allowing the president to peak at this time, you do wonder without sandy, where would this race be tonight? >> you mean this is like one of the football games where the last team with the ball wins essentially? >> well, the overtime stats, the person with the first touch on the ball wins most of the tim
there were a slew of battleground state polls including in ohio that showed obama ahead. there did seem to be momentum that he had had. and i think most importantly when you actually look back at hurricane sandy, and of course we don't know how election night is going to turn out, but it did freeze the romney campaign in place. and there wasn't a lot of talk of mitt romney for two or three weeks. he was the candidate who had the momentum. he was beginning to make his closing argument. and then...
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. >> in many of the battle ground states, obama has more field offices. >> it is down to micro-managingng and micro-issug these folks. republicans had a better ground game in 2004, and a lot of people think that is why they won that close electio and it fell into disrepairhey are building it back up now, bbut i don't think they are anywhere near where obama is yet. >> which candidate as the mt enthusiastic and engaged, most dedicated supporters colby? >> that is a hard one to answer. i think that clearly after the first debate, the republican party had really enthusiastic supporters. romney did d do well comred to obama. there was disappointment with prident obama in n thee democratic ranks aer the first debate. i think he has start to regain some of that with the last two performances, but that has said --he first debate has had a tremendous impact. >> but wherever obama goes, you hear him say, out and vote, you have to vote. >>>> on the votes that have low turnout rates. blacksand hispanics are people that he needs, and that catapulted h to the top in 2008. remember, there was a big tur
. >> in many of the battle ground states, obama has more field offices. >> it is down to micro-managingng and micro-issug these folks. republicans had a better ground game in 2004, and a lot of people think that is why they won that close electio and it fell into disrepairhey are building it back up now, bbut i don't think they are anywhere near where obama is yet. >> which candidate as the mt enthusiastic and engaged, most dedicated supporters colby? >> that is a hard...